The Rajasthan Royals are clear favorites to beat the Lucknow Super Giants in IPL 2026 Match 64 at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur, on May 19, 2026.
RR carries a 60-65% win probability. They sit fifth with 12 points from six wins in 12 matches. They need to win both remaining games to make the playoffs. Tonight is their final home game of the season.
LSG has already been eliminated. They beat CSK by 7 wickets in their last game, powered by Mitchell Marsh’s explosive 90 off 38 balls. A freed-up team riding unexpected confidence is never a comfortable opponent.
Two facts create genuine tension in this prediction. RR have lost all three Jaipur home matches this season. And LSG have won 2 of 3 T20 games played at this specific ground. On paper, it is a mismatch. On the pitch at Sawai Mansingh, it is much tighter.
Critical update: Riyan Parag has been stripped of the RR captaincy. Yashasvi Jaiswal now leads RR for tonight’s match. Ravindra Jadeja misses this game after picking up an injury in the match against DC.
RR vs LSG Match 64 Direct Odds
Rajasthan Royals carry must-win motivation, the most destructive teenage batter in IPL history in Suryavanshi, and Jofra Archer’s 17 wickets leading their bowling attack.
Lucknow Super Giants carry the freedom of an eliminated team, Marsh’s match-winning form from the last game, and a Jaipur record that says they win here more often than their season record suggests.
| Team | Win Probability | Decimal Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rajasthan Royals | 60–65% | 1.60 – 1.72 |
| Lucknow Super Giants | 35–40% | 2.15 – 2.30 |
RR is backed at 1.60–1.72, reflecting home advantage, must-win motivation, and superior squad depth across all departments.
LSG offer value at 2.15–2.30 for punters backing Marsh’s century-form, LSG’s specific Jaipur record, and the unpredictability of an eliminated team playing with zero pressure.
RR vs LSG Match 64 Info Table
| Match | Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants |
|---|---|
| Match Number | IPL 2026 Match 64 |
| Date & Time | Tuesday, May 19, 2026, 7:30 PM IST |
| Venue | Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur |
| RR Captain | Yashasvi Jaiswal (Riyan Parag stripped of captaincy) |
| LSG Captain | Rishabh Pant |
| Live Streaming | JioHotstar App & Website |
| TV Telecast | Star Sports Network |
| Points Table | RR: 5th (12 pts, 6W-6L, on 4-match losing streak) |
Key updates:
- Ravindra Jadeja is unavailable due to an injury sustained against DC. His absence removes RR’s best all-rounder and most economical middle-over option.
- Riyan Parag stripped of captaincy mid-season; Jaiswal takes over as emergency captain for this game.
- Mitchell Marsh scored 90 off 38 balls against CSK in LSG’s last game to set up a 7-wicket win.
RR vs LSG Toss Prediction Odds
Sawai Mansingh Stadium in Jaipur has evolved into a high-scoring venue in IPL 2026. It no longer plays like the traditional low-scoring Jaipur pitch of previous seasons.
The average first innings score at Jaipur in IPL 2026 is 228. Both successful chases at this venue this season came after targets above 220. That is a dramatically different pitch from the one that averaged 166 in earlier IPL seasons.
Teams chasing have won 60% of IPL matches at this ground. Dew settles from overs 12-15 of the second innings, which makes spinners less effective and batting progressively easier as the night progresses. Both captains know this and will field first.
One interesting tactical note: RR’s match becomes stronger if they bat first. Suryavanshi and Jaiswal can post 70-plus in six overs. A total of 195-plus on this flat pitch puts enormous pressure on LSG’s inconsistent middle order. If RR chase instead, Suryavanshi’s form at this venue under pressure carries extra risk.
Weather: Hot, around 40°C during the day. Drops to 30-32°C by match time. No rain expected. Dew arrives consistently from over 13 in the Jaipur evening matches.
Toss Impact at Sawai Mansingh Stadium
| Factor | Impact |
|---|---|
| Average first innings score (IPL 2026 here) | 228 runs |
| Chasing win rate (all IPL at this ground) | 60% |
| Dew factor | Arrives from over 12-15; reduces spin effectiveness |
| Mid-wicket boundary | 75 metres; limits easy sixes |
| Spinners | Grip and turn in the middle overs on a dry surface |
| Weather | 30-32°C at match time, no rain, consistent dew |
| Expected toss decision | Bowl First |
Toss Prediction: Both Yashasvi Jaiswal and Rishabh Pant will want to bowl first. Chasing teams have a structural advantage under dew at this ground. LSG won both their Jaipur matches chasing. Bowl first from whoever wins the toss. The toss holds significant match-deciding value tonight.
RR vs LSG Players Odds
This match features two completely different motivation profiles. RR fight for their IPL 2026 season. LSG plays free. Individual performances carry enormous weight when one team’s collective energy is survival-focused, and the other’s is unshackled.
Rajasthan Royals Key Players
| Player | Role | Key Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Vaibhav Suryavanshi | Opening Batsman | 486 runs at SR 235 in IPL 2026; the fastest batter to 500 IPL runs ever; scored 46 off 21 against DC in the last game despite the team losing; his battle against Mohsin Khan in the powerplay is the most critical individual contest of the first six overs tonight. |
| Yashasvi Jaiswal | Emergency Captain / Opening Batsman | New captain in a must-win match; his ability to anchor an innings after the powerplay while Suryavanshi attacks is RR’s most reliable structural batting pattern. |
| Jofra Archer | Lead Pacer | 17 wickets in 12 matches; 3 for 20 in the last RR vs LSG meeting; at Sawai Mansingh, where pacers get early movement, Archer’s express pace and late swing make him almost unplayable in overs 1-4; Marsh’s powerplay survival against Archer defines whether LSG builds a competitive total or collapses early |
| Dhruv Jurel | WK-Batsman | Scored 53 against DC in the last game; RR’s most reliable middle-order batter since Jadeja’s injury; on a flat Jaipur pitch where the ball comes on nicely in the middle overs, his square cuts and sweep shots generate quick boundaries |
Lucknow Super Giants Key Players
| Player | Role | Key Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Marsh | Opening All-rounder | 377 runs at an average of 34.27 and SR 150.80; smashed 90 off 38 balls against CSK in the last game; LSG’s match-winner and the one batter who can single-handedly take apart any bowling attack; his powerplay survival against Archer determines LSG’s innings direction |
| Rishabh Pant | Captain / WK-Batsman | 251 runs at an average of 27.88 in IPL 2026; well below his career standards this season, but a left-hander under dew with nothing to lose plays his most instinctive T20 cricket; his battle against Bishnoi in the middle overs is the match’s decisive individual bowling contest |
| Prince Yadav | Lead Pacer | 16 wickets at economy 8.17 in IPL 2026; LSG’s most consistent wicket-taker all season; his 7-15 over bracket bowling on a Jaipur surface that slows after the powerplay creates genuine dismissal threats against RR’s middle-order batters who need to accelerate |
Player to Watch: Mohsin Khan against Suryavanshi and Jaiswal in the powerplay is tonight’s match-defining individual contest. Mohsin dismissed Jaiswal, Jurel, and Suryavanshi in one spell against RR in a previous match this season. His left-arm inswing angle from around the wicket is precisely the threat that right-handed powerplay hitters struggle with most at Jaipur’s flat pitch. If Mohsin takes two wickets inside the first five overs, RR’s total drops from a potential 220 to 175, and LSG chase it comfortably. If Suryavanshi launches him for two sixes in the opening two overs, RR’s powerplay target of 70 in six overs becomes achievable, and the match is functionally over before the 10th over.
RR vs LSG Match Prediction – Who Will Win
Rajasthan Royals are predicted to win this encounter.
Must-win clarity, superior squad depth (even without Jadeja), and a bowling combination of Archer-Bishnoi that specifically targets LSG’s structural batting weakness make RR the team to back. Their specific record of beating LSG by 40 runs in the reverse fixture at Ekana confirms this bowling lineup dismantles LSG’s middle order effectively.
LSG’s danger is real. Marsh in this form can win matches alone. Mohsin at Jaipur took three wickets in one powerplay spell against these exact RR batters. And a freed-up team always finds an extra gear that statistics cannot predict.
Why RR Holds the Edge
- Jofra Archer took 3 for 20 against LSG in the reverse fixture and dismissed Marsh and Pant cheaply: That specific bowling performance against this specific lineup three weeks ago is the most directly relevant predictive data available for tonight. The same bowler faces the same batters at the same stage of their season.
- Suryavanshi at SR 235 is the most destructive powerplay weapon on either side: At a Jaipur surface where the average first innings score is 228, RR’s ability to post 70 in six overs sets match-winning totals that LSG’s inconsistent middle order cannot chase down once Bishnoi controls overs 9-16.
- RR’s must-win motivation generates urgency that sharpens every tactical decision: Four consecutive losses have bruised confidence but not squad quality. Tonight, with a playoff spot on the line in their final home game of the season, every RR player carries the kind of focus that transformed ordinary performances into decisive ones.
- RR led the head-to-head 5-2 across 7 meetings. The overall record reflects a structural quality gap between these squads at full strength. Even with Jadeja absent, RR carries more match-winners across their batting and bowling lineup.
LSG’s Challenges
- Jadeja’s absence removes RR’s most complete bowler and their best batting stability below number six: Jadeja contributed 190 runs at an average of 47.50 and 8 wickets at an economy rate of 7.84 this season. Losing him in a must-win game against a team that can chase 220 is not a small problem. It is a structural hole in RR’s all-around balance.
- LSG won both previous games at this ground: Their 2-0 record at Sawai Mansingh Stadium provides a specific venue familiarity with the pitch’s behaviour, the wind direction, and the dew pattern that gives their bowlers useful tactical information that pure season form does not capture.
- Marsh arriving off 90 off 38 balls against CSK carries his season’s best momentum: A batter in this form at a flat Jaipur pitch under dew in the second innings is genuinely capable of chasing 200-plus alone. If he stays 15 overs, LSG wins regardless of what happens around him.
Match Prediction: Rajasthan Royals to win.
RR vs LSG Head To Head (Overall Head To Head Data)
RR lead the all-time head-to-head 5-2 across 7 IPL meetings. The overall record sits clearly in Rajasthan’s favour. But the venue-specific record at Sawai Mansingh Stadium is where this prediction gets complicated.
Crucially, both LSG wins came at Jaipur. Every Lucknow victory in this head-to-head happened at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium. Jaipur is the one ground where LSG consistently beats RR. That venue-specific record is the most important contextual fact in tonight’s prediction, and it directly challenges the comfortable 5-2 overall advantage RR carries into this game.
The reverse fixture three weeks ago went RR’s way by 40 runs. At Ekana on April 22, Archer’s 3/20 dismantled LSG’s top order, and Jadeja’s unbeaten 43 gave RR a total that Bishnoi’s middle-over control made impossible to chase. Tonight, Jadeja is unavailable, and Mohsin Khan has clearly studied that match tape very carefully in the weeks since.
| Statistic | Record |
|---|---|
| Total Matches Played | 7 |
| RR Wins | 5 |
| LSG Wins | 2 |
| Both LSG wins the location | Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur |
| Reverse fixture result | RR won by 40 runs (Ekana, April 22) |
| Suryavanshi IPL 2026 runs | 486 at SR 235 |
| Mohsin Khan IPL 2026 | 10 wickets in 5 matches at econ 7.45 |
| Archer vs LSG (reverse fixture) | 3 for 20 |
| Jadeja IPL 2026 (now injured) | 190 runs avg 47.50 + 8 wickets econ 7.84 |
| LSG middle order (positions 4-8) avg | 20.66 across IPL 2026 |
The individual record between these sides at Jaipur specifically reveals that something about this ground genuinely troubles RR’s bowling plans. LSG’s two wins here came on the back of explosive powerplay batting that sent RR’s first-innings bowling plans into immediate crisis. When Marsh or Inglis fires in the first six overs at Sawai Mansingh, RR’s bowlers have repeatedly failed to contain the damage.
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Final Verdict
RR vs LSG Match 64 at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium is RR’s final home game of the season and effectively an elimination match for the inaugural IPL champions.
Rajasthan Royals carry all the structural advantages. Must-win energy. The most destructive teenage batter in T20 history. Archer’s 17 wickets. Bishnoi is targeting exactly the batting positions where LSG are weakest. And a 5-2 head-to-head record that confirms RR consistently outperforms this opponent.
Lucknow Super Giants carry the wildcard factors. Marsh in career-best T20 form. Mohsin Khan’s specific record against RR’s top three batters at this exact venue. An eliminated team playing free from consequence. And the uncomfortable fact that every time LSG has won in this head-to-head rivalry, it has happened right here at Sawai Mansingh Stadium.
Expect a first innings score in the 195-215 range on this flat Jaipur surface. Par score is 175-190, but both teams have posted and chased above 220 at this ground this season. Dew decides the chase. Mohsin Khan’s powerplay performance decides the total. Archer dismisses Marsh in the 3rd over, Bishnoi takes two wickets in overs 11-14, and RR win by 25-35 runs to keep their playoff hopes alive going into their final group match.
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